CRYPTO
Cointelegraph
15 Oct 2026 · 05:45
CryptoQuant’s 3 charts keeping Bitcoin’s ‘Uptober’ thesis valid
Bitcoin (BTC) can still preserve its traditionally strong October performance, as onchain data points to a local BTC price bottom forming. Key points: Onchain data suggested that Bitcoin could still end October strong, following …
Bitcoin (BTC) can still preserve its traditionally strong October performance, as onchain data points to a local BTC price bottom forming.
Key points:
Onchain data suggested that Bitcoin could still end October strong, following historical patterns.
Bitcoin exchange reserves remained 1.7% lower than in mid-September, while whales avoided selling.
Apparent demand neared a transition to positive readings for the second time in 2026.
BTC price analysis flags “potential bottom” signals
New analysis published on crypto analytics platform CryptoQuant Monday show onchain conditions in a state of “cautious optimism.”
Bitcoin continues to weather mixed macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds, which include 24-year highs in US bond yields, rising oil prices and cooling capital inflows to exchange-traded products. These conditions have dampened optimism over Bitcoin delivering a strong performance in October.
“Now, signs of a potential bottom are emerging,” CryptoQuant contributor XWIN Research Japan wrote.
Since the start of October, conditions have changed to increasingly benefit crypto and risk assets. XWIN points to cooling expectations of interest-rate hikes by the Federal Reserve into 2027, boosting the odds of inflows improving. At the same time, markets expect more clarity over the US domestic political situation after the approaching Midterm Elections.
“Less political uncertainty after the vote could help investors reassess allocations,” XWIN continued.
Bitcoin exchange reserves, apparent demand and whale holdings give XWIN reasons to believe that October’s local low may have already occurred.
The BTC supply on exchanges has fallen from 2.726 million on Sept. 20 to 2.68 million as of Tuesday, a decrease of 1.7%, despite a modest increase over the past week.
Bitcoin exchange BTC reserves. Source: CryptoQuant
At the same time, the combined holdings owned by large-volume investors, or whales, remain above 3 million BTC. The cohort’s urge to reduce exposure has survived BTC/USD dropping from $87,000 on Oct. 2 to near $80,000 on Oct. 8.
Bitcoin whale holdings (screenshot). Source: CryptoQuant
Bitcoin demand data stays bullish in October
Apparent demand, a measure that compares newly mined BTC with changes in dormant supply, shows overall demand remains supportive.
Related: Bitcoin keeps up pressure on $84K as US stocks skirt Korea tech sell-off
The metric has been negative throughout 2026, with a brief period of positive 30-day readings in the second half of August. Since then, demand has been negative, but has recovered to near-neutral levels as of this week.
“These developments suggest conditions for a bottom are improving. Confirmation requires sustained ETF inflows, stronger US spot buying and continued demand recovery,” XWIN said.
“‘Uptober’ need not mean uninterrupted gains: a correction can build the foundation for the next advance.”
Bitcoin apparent demand growth. Source: CryptoQuant
This week, crypto asset manager Bitwise said that Q3 onchain data pointed to “crypto spring” after historically significant performance. CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju, meanwhile, announced what he saw as the start of a new crypto bull market in late August, calling the bear market “over.”
CRYPTO
Crypto Briefing
15 Oct 2026 · 05:45
Hypercall records $592M in options volume since June launch
The Hyperliquid-based options venue has found its breakout product in an index that predates crypto by several decades The most popular bet on a crypto-native options exchange right now is the S&P 500. Hypercall, …
The Hyperliquid-based options venue has found its breakout product in an index that predates crypto by several decades
The most popular bet on a crypto-native options exchange right now is the S&P 500.
Hypercall, an on-chain options platform built on the Hyperliquid L1 blockchain, has recorded $640 million in S&P 500 options volume since June, according to CoinDesk. A venue born in DeFi is getting its biggest traction from the index your financial advisor keeps telling you to hold forever.
That matters because on-chain equity products have usually been easier to announce than to fill with trades. Hypercall’s numbers suggest some traders want stock-market exposure with crypto-style plumbing, and they are showing up with real size.
From SpaceX to the S&P 500
Hypercall launched its mainnet on June 1, 2026. Its first product was options on SpaceX, listed under the ticker SPCX.
S&P 500 options, trading as SP500, arrived on June 27, 2026. They quickly became the platform’s lead product by trading activity.
By early October 2026, Hypercall had processed approximately $592 million in cumulative notional options volume across the platform since launch.
Most of that came in a single month. September 2026 alone saw a record $536 million in notional volume.
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The SP500 contracts also dominate on a premium basis. They account for roughly 41.5% of all-time premium traded on Hypercall.
How the machinery works
All Hypercall options are European-style and cash-settled. They can only be exercised at expiry, and settlement happens in money rather than delivery of an asset. For buyers, the maximum loss is the premium paid.
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Settlement runs in USDC, the dollar-pegged stablecoin.
Long option positions on Hypercall face no liquidations. The platform also has no minimum trade sizes, a combination that has encouraged retail participation.
On the other side of the book, Hypercall rolled out Standard Margin after launch. That feature lets traders short options, which is how sellers collect premium and how a two-sided market forms.
A single SP500 options trade in September led market makers to delta-hedge $14.8 million in perpetual futures volume.
The founder’s pitch
Jake Sylvestre, Hypercall’s founder, points to a few features as the platform’s main draws. He highlights a simple interface, round-the-clock access, and shared-margin hedging.
Round-the-clock access stands out for an equity index product. Traditional stock options follow exchange hours, while on-chain venues never close.
Shared margin means collateral can support multiple positions at once. A trader can hold an option and its hedge without carving up their capital into separate silos.
With these features and its volume, Hypercall is described as the largest on-chain equity options venue to date.
What this means
It is also notable which product won. SpaceX options were the launch headliner, a private-company story with obvious buzz. The S&P 500 ended up as the volume leader.
The $14.8 million hedging trade shows how one product’s growth can feed activity elsewhere on the chain. Options venues need liquid hedging markets, and the perpetuals on Hyperliquid appear to be serving that role.
For traders, the structure carries clear appeal and clear caveats. Defined risk for buyers and no liquidations on long positions lower the stakes of getting a trade wrong. Short sellers using Standard Margin still take on the open-ended risk that comes with writing options.
MACRO & FED
The Times of India
15 Oct 2026 · 05:30
Rupee extends rise but falters past 95/USD on importer hedging, outflows
The Indian rupee has experienced an increase for the third consecutive session amid regulatory changes by the central bank. It reached a peak of 94.77 before settling at 95.15 against the dollar. Additionally, Indian …
The Indian rupee has experienced an increase for the third consecutive session amid regulatory changes by the central bank. It reached a peak of 94.77 before settling at 95.15 against the dollar. Additionally, Indian importers continue to hedge against potent… The Indian rupee rose for a third consecutive session on Wednesday to hit a more than one-month peak as the central bank followed up tough regulatory measures with hawkish commentary.However, the gai…
MACRO & FED
The New Republic
15 Oct 2026 · 05:15
The Battle Lines Are Forming for the Democrats’ Next Big Fight
If Democrats regain power and want to hold it, they need to help the electorate that keeps demanding change, swinging wildly between Democrats, who promise the status quo, and Trump, who promises to destroy …
If Democrats regain power and want to hold it, they need to help the electorate that keeps demanding change, swinging wildly between Democrats, who promise the status quo, and Trump, who promises to destroy democracy altogether. To solve the fundamental problem, more Democrats are championing the idea that the party needs to take on corporations in a way that not only addresses Trump-era corruption but also stops working people from getting steamrolled. Democrats, even progressives, are torn about whether this would work. But do enough understand the stakes, and are they willing to do what they need to do to right the scales?
This issue has been at the heart of tension among Democrats all campaign season. On the one hand, pundits and candidates in the abundance camp have blamed progressive interest groups, from environmentalists to trans rights activists, for slowing down progress on big economic projects like building housing and new transit, or for focusing too much on culture-war issues. They’ve argued that Democrats need to speed up building things so they can have something to show for their time in office. This has translated largely into a deregulation agenda. A bipartisan group of senators is now pushing through a bill that would make permitting energy projects easier while potentially ignoring environmental safeguards.
On the other side, the economic populists have followed the mode of Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders by blaming the oligarchy, the wealthy, and corporations, arguing that they should pay more in taxes to grow the safety net for working people. Progressives won several prominent victories that drew attention this year by championing this idea, like Abdul El-Sayed’s win in Michigan’s Senate primary, but moderates won more overall. In other words, in the next Congress, there will be plenty of voices on both sides of this debate.
MACRO & FED
The New Republic
15 Oct 2026 · 05:15
He’s Attacking Big Ag. He’s Running in Nebraska. Somehow It’s Working.
Ricketts called Osborn “Democrat Dan” nearly 40 times before the debate concluded an hour later—once about every 30 seconds. Eventually, Osborn suggested that the organizers should have supplied another podium for this Democrat Dan …
Ricketts called Osborn “Democrat Dan” nearly 40 times before the debate concluded an hour later—once about every 30 seconds. Eventually, Osborn suggested that the organizers should have supplied another podium for this Democrat Dan character, because he had never met him. The line got a laugh, but Ricketts kept going. (Full transparency: Ricketts doesn’t like me, either.) The strategy was clear: Osborn could say what he wanted, but Ricketts was determined to tell the audience—most of all the audience watching at home—who he wanted them to think Osborn really was.
In a normal midterm cycle, this race, in a bright red state, might be nothing more than a political footnote: Anyone with an R after their name would win, and that would be that. But this year feels different. Across the middle of the country, in agricultural states that have long gone solidly Republican, voters are enraged. Suddenly, Iowa is in play. Kansas is in play. Texas is in play. While coastal punditry tends to see this as a referendum on President Trump, the ground-level issues reveal the degree to which Americans feel abandoned by their government and their politics at all levels—issues that embody what decades of disinvestment and trickle-down economics have wrought: farm failures, dwindling support for cattle and commodity grain markets, the closures of rural hospitals and schools, soaring prices of gas and food, poisoned water and soil, and rising rates of cancer and other health issues. That anger, and those issues, mean “Democrat Dan” may have a shot—regardless of his party affiliation.
Republicans aren’t blind to the problem—nor is the problem limited to the Senate. House races have tightened. Gubernatorial margins are narrowing. Party insiders understand that this is largely the product of outrage over affordability. Gas prices, food prices, and housing prices have all risen by 25 to 30 percent in the last year, while wages have remained more or less flat and the unemployment rate has climbed. In simple terms, everything is more expensive, and people are understandably angry.
MACRO & FED
The New Republic
15 Oct 2026 · 05:15
Transcript: Right Now With Michael Paarlberg
Paarlberg: Yes. I think that it’s always too simple to expect class-based voting. That’s never happened in the US, certainly, and of course, in the US we have reasons of racism, institutional racism, that …
Paarlberg: Yes. I think that it’s always too simple to expect class-based voting. That’s never happened in the US, certainly, and of course, in the US we have reasons of racism, institutional racism, that have divided the working class historically. But we see that in Brazil too.
But on the other hand, you can say, look, Lula did win three terms in office. He did get to be in office for a long time and make a lot of material changes. If he loses, the fact that he lost his fourth one at age 80 isn’t necessarily that much of a knock on his record, or the idea of a more social democratic message.
Now, that said, I’m biased. I advise Bernie Sanders, and, just to plug a little bit, we have a book coming out from the Center for International Policy that should be out on Election Day, called A World to Win, that’s going to be a blueprint for progressive US foreign policy. And I certainly have ideas that are not just about material economic benefits.
I think that corruption is a major through line in certainly Latin American elections, and should be more of a through line in the US as well. That’s something that can really drive cynicism, and when there’s an attitude that they’re all corrupt, that really benefits the right more than it benefits the left.
Bacon: Interesting.
Paarlberg: And Lula’s response to this is essentially, We’re not as corrupt as our opponents. That’s not a very convincing message, even if it’s true. And so I think that tackling corruption, and tackling issues that affect working people—I didn’t mention this, inflation is going up in Brazil. It’s not as bad, but for Biden to say the price of eggs is not really an issue, it is an issue, and it’s an issue especially for working class voters, because working class voters spend more of their income on food.
Bacon: Material goods, and groceries. We’ve seen in Europe a backlash to Trump, but it looks like parties associated with Trump in Europe are losing and trying to move away from Trump. That hasn’t happened in Latin America. Talk about why that might be different. They’re different places, but unpack it a little bit.
Paarlberg: It is actually true that Latin America does tend to work in trends. We saw a big shift to the left in 1998, and then a big shift to the right around 2014, 2015, and then another shift to the left, now another shift to the right. We’re currently in the middle of a right-wing wave.
But you can oversimplify, because all of these are particular to each country. So I think, for example, Colombia, it was largely the failure of Petro’s Paz Total program, the peace plan. And then in Brazil, I think it has to do with the social issues and Lula’s age and the anti-establishment thing.
But I would say that there are definitely trends that parallel Trumpism. A lot of it is that the issues that are defining politics are increasingly social issues. They’re increasingly, you might say, religiously tinged or racially tinged or both. And they are often out of step with actual numbers.
Something I brought up earlier was Chile is another example. A far right president was elected, Kast, who ran on an anti-immigration, anti-crime platform. Crime was actually dropping, and immigration’s dropping, at the time that he was running. But these were still emotional issues that could turn out a lot of people regardless of what the statistics said.
And so again, going back to the vibes-based thing, I think it’s more of a matter of setting the terms of what are the issues that an election’s going to be about, and that’s something that a lot of progressive leaders have struggled to do.
Bacon: And it sounds like, because you work with progressives in the US—how do progressives get better at setting the terms for the election? I think Zohran was a good example of that in New York.
I don’t know how you do that. Biden struggled with it. Is there a way to do that in an election where there’s social media, the right is very—New York is Democratic leaning and liberal, I would say. So in the country, how do progressives get better at setting the terms of the debate for the elections? I think that’s an important question, and I think you’re right about that.
Paarlberg: Yeah. It’s a tough answer.
Bacon: Tough question.
Paarlberg: I think that there’s obviously a lot of factors that have to come into play at the same time. I do think the charisma of their particular leaders helps. And so to have people who are younger and more vigorous, I think, is helpful.
And I think that also being able to inoculate against or defuse some of the more divisive social issues, and just move on to issues like Mamdani did the rent. There is a way to focus on certain popular issues. Obviously, it’s easier if you’re not an incumbent, to say, These are their problems that need to be solved.
But there are things that unite people. I used to work in the labor movement, and unions are broadly popular across the spectrum. And I would say that encouraging the organization of workers builds the kind of social base for long-term progressive politics that really would parallel the rise of the more reactionary social bases that had been building in Brazil for decades and are resulting in the rise of Bolsonaro’s movement.
Bacon: Michael Paarlberg, thank you for joining me. I appreciate it. Great conversation. Thank you.
Paarlberg: Thanks for having me.
Bacon: Good to see you. Bye-bye.
Paarlberg: Take care.
MACRO & FED
Fox News
15 Oct 2026 · 05:15
American-made goods also got more expensive under Trump tariffs, new research finds
Federal Reserve Bank of New York research shows Trump tariffs added 2.9 percentage points to consumer goods inflation through February 2026. Americans aren't just seeing the price tag increase for imported goods. Thanks to …
Federal Reserve Bank of New York research shows Trump tariffs added 2.9 percentage points to consumer goods inflation through February 2026. Americans aren't just seeing the price tag increase for imported goods. Thanks to President Donald Trump's tariffs, they are now paying more for products made in the U.S.A., according to new research…
CRYPTO
Cointelegraph
15 Oct 2026 · 05:15
Standard Chartered expands Bitcoin and Ether trading to professional investors in UAE
Standard Chartered expanded its spot crypto trading services to professional investors in the UAE region, with plans to offer access to more market participants. Standard Chartered has expanded Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) trading …
Standard Chartered expanded its spot crypto trading services to professional investors in the UAE region, with plans to offer access to more market participants.
Standard Chartered has expanded Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) trading to wealthy clients in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) who qualify as professional investors.
Eligible investors can trade these assets within their existing Standard Chartered bank accounts, the London-headquartered multinational bank announced Wednesday.
Standard Chartered’s eligibility criteria require individuals to have at least 4 million dirhams (about $1.1 million) in net assets, excluding their main residence, and sufficient investment knowledge and experience or representation by a licensed entity.
Digital assets are “moving into mainstream wealth conversations,” and the bank’s clients are increasingly looking for the “security, trust and confidence that comes from investing through a regulated and trusted institution,” said Samir Subberwal, global head of wealth solutions, retail products, data and analytics at Standard Chartered.
The development comes over a month after Standard Chartered launched UAE crypto trading services for institutional clients in early September.
Standard Chartered is not the only company expanding its digital asset offering in the region. On Monday, cryptocurrency exchange Kraken’s parent company, Payward, received VARA approval to provide crypto services through its local entity. In July, neobank Revolut received in-principle approval from Dubai’s VARA to offer crypto-related services.
Related: XRP treasury Evernorth’s shares rise 5% at Nasdaq opening print
MACRO & FED
Biztoc.com
15 Oct 2026 · 04:30
Stock Market Today: Investors Await Inflation Report, Bank Earnings
ASML stock rises after earnings ASML stock rises after earnings This story appeared on wsj.com, 2026-10-14 09:00:38.
ASML stock rises after earnings ASML stock rises after earnings
This story appeared on wsj.com, 2026-10-14 09:00:38.
MACRO & FED
Biztoc.com
15 Oct 2026 · 04:30
CPI ahead; more banks to report; ASML earnings
Investing.com - Futures linked to the main U.S. stock indices inch mostly higher, as traders prepared for the release of key inflation data and awaited another batch of bank earnings. Upcoming consumer price data …
Investing.com - Futures linked to the main U.S. stock indices inch mostly higher, as traders prepared for the release of key inflation data and awaited another batch of bank earnings. Upcoming consumer price data could offer a glimpse into the state of inflat… Investing.com - Futures linked to the main U.S. stock indices inch mostly higher, as traders prepared for the release of key inflation data and awaited another batch of bank earnings. Upcoming consum…