MACRO & FED
Raw Story
06 Oct 2026 · 09:45
Young voters deliver 'unambiguously good news for Dems in pivotal swing state
Democrats have a large advantage among young voters in Michigan across the different races coming to the ballot in November, according to a new poll from the Alliance for Youth Power PAC and YouGov …
Democrats have a large advantage among young voters in Michigan across the different races coming to the ballot in November, according to a new poll from the Alliance for Youth Power PAC and YouGov released Monday, which showed “pretty unambiguously good news… Democrats have a large advantage among young voters in Michigan across the different races coming to the ballot in November, according to a new poll from the Alliance for Youth Power PAC and YouGov r…
CRYPTO
Crypto Briefing
06 Oct 2026 · 09:45
TSMC stock hits record high as AI chip demand lifts Taiwan market
Taiwan Semiconductor shares closed at NT$2,575, pushing its market value to approximately US$2.5 trillion ahead of key earnings dates Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. set a new personal best on October 5, 2026. Its shares …
Taiwan Semiconductor shares closed at NT$2,575, pushing its market value to approximately US$2.5 trillion ahead of key earnings dates
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. set a new personal best on October 5, 2026. Its shares touched an intraday high of NT$2,580 before closing at NT$2,575, up 3% on the day and at an all-time record.
The move lifted TSMC’s market capitalization to approximately NT$66.9 trillion, or around US$2.5 trillion.
The numbers behind the record
TSMC had company at the top. The Taiwan Weighted Index, better known as TAIEX, also posted a record close, finishing at 49,712.04 after a 2.55% gain.
Trading volume on the index topped NT$1.15 trillion.
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Two forces drove the rally. The first was a rebound in US technology stocks, which gave the wider chip sector a lift. The second was continued demand tied to artificial intelligence. AI developers keep looking to TSMC for its most advanced chips and its contract manufacturing services.
Year to date, TSMC shares have gained more than 55-60%.
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Revenue is doing the heavy lifting
TSMC’s August sales jumped 53% compared with the same month a year earlier.
For the full year, TSMC’s 2026 revenue growth is projected at slightly above 40% in US dollar terms.
TSMC is also spending heavily to keep pace. Its capital expenditure guidance sits between US$60 billion and US$64 billion.
The backdrop: AI demand and potential new partners
Potential collaborations are adding to the optimism. Among them are discussions with Elon Musk’s Terafab about a manufacturing facility in Texas. Those talks remain discussions, not a signed deal.
What this means for investors
TSMC is set to release its September sales figures on October 8, followed by third-quarter earnings on October 15.
The capex guidance deserves attention too. Spending between US$60 billion and US$64 billion only pays off if AI demand stays strong.
The Terafab discussions are worth tracking as well. Any formal agreement on a Texas facility would expand TSMC’s footprint.
CRYPTO
Vibivibi.com
06 Oct 2026 · 09:30
Show HN: Vibivibi – End-to-end encrypted sharing of Coding Agent sessions
Hi HN, I'm Hongyin. I built Vibivibi (https://vibivibi.com) because I kept starting a coding agent session on my laptop and wanting to continue it on a server, or hand it to a colleague. I …
Hi HN, I'm Hongyin. I built Vibivibi (https://vibivibi.com) because I kept
starting a coding agent session on my laptop and wanting to continue it on a server, or hand it to a colleague. I want an easier way to do it but won’t trust anyone hosting my traces w… What exactly gets synced?+
The agent's own session file: the full transcript as Claude Code, Codex CLI, OpenCode or Pi wrote it, with its original session id. Pulling it on another machine installs …
CRYPTO
Crypto Briefing
06 Oct 2026 · 09:30
Bullish exchange lists Sui Dollar stablecoin for trading
The Stripe-backed USDsui, which routes reserve yield into SUI buybacks, is now tradable on Bullish in eligible regions Sui Dollar, the native stablecoin of the Sui blockchain, is now available to trade on Bullish …
The Stripe-backed USDsui, which routes reserve yield into SUI buybacks, is now tradable on Bullish in eligible regions
Sui Dollar, the native stablecoin of the Sui blockchain, is now available to trade on Bullish in eligible regions.
The token trades under the ticker $USDsui. It reached a centralized exchange order book only weeks after its launch, which is quick for a stablecoin built for one specific chain.
What USDsui actually is
$USDsui launched on March 4, 2026, as a fiat-backed, USD-pegged stablecoin native to Sui. Bridge, a company owned by Stripe, issues it on a 1:1 basis through its Open Issuance platform.
Each token is backed by a reserve of dollar assets. That reserve includes US Treasuries, repos, money-market funds and cash, with an emphasis on short-term Treasuries.
The token was built to support payments and decentralized finance (DeFi) inside the Sui ecosystem. DeFi refers to lending, trading and other financial services run by software on a blockchain rather than by a bank.
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The circulating supply sits between approximately 78.5 million and 78.85 million tokens. Market capitalization is near $78–79 million, and the token has held its $1.00 peg.
The yield twist
Most fiat-backed stablecoins operate on a simple business model. Users hold tokens that earn nothing, the issuer parks the reserves in Treasuries, and the issuer keeps the interest.
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USDsui tweaks that arrangement. Yield generated by its reserves is directed toward buybacks of the SUI token and toward liquidity incentives for DeFi on Sui, rather than flowing only to the issuer.
A buyback means using money to purchase SUI tokens on the open market. Liquidity incentives are rewards paid to users who deposit assets into trading pools, which helps those markets run smoothly.
Where it already lives on-chain
Before landing on Bullish, USDsui had already been integrated into several DeFi applications on Sui. Those include Cetus, Bluefin and Turbos Finance.
In some snapshots of Sui network activity, USDsui ranks as the second-largest stablecoin on the chain. The top spot belongs to USDC.
Stablecoin transfer volumes on the Sui blockchain exceeded $100 billion in early 2026, alongside growing institutional demand for stablecoins.
What this means
For traders, the Bullish listing adds a new venue to access USDsui without first moving funds onto Sui itself.
The Stripe connection is also a meaningful signal. Bridge’s involvement ties USDsui to a major payments company, which may appeal to institutions that care about who sits behind a stablecoin’s reserves.
There are risks worth keeping in view. USDsui is weeks old, its supply is a fraction of USDC’s, and its success depends heavily on continued activity within one blockchain.
The listing is limited to eligible regions, so availability will vary depending on where a user is based.
CRYPTO
Crypto Briefing
06 Oct 2026 · 09:30
VanEck BNB ETF reports $97M inflow on Friday as trackers show a quieter picture
VanEck's spot BNB fund logged its first major flow, but independent data has yet to back it up The VanEck BNB ETF pulled in $97 million on Friday, according to VanEck. That would be …
VanEck's spot BNB fund logged its first major flow, but independent data has yet to back it up
The VanEck BNB ETF pulled in $97 million on Friday, according to VanEck. That would be the fund’s first major flow since its US debut earlier this year.
A big number meets a small fund
The fund trades under the ticker VBNB. It launched on May 28, 2026, as the first spot exchange-traded fund in the US offering direct exposure to BNB, the native token of BNB Chain.
Spot means the fund holds actual BNB rather than futures contracts tied to its price. Buy a share, and somewhere a custodian is holding the real tokens on your behalf.
The sponsor fee is set at 0.39%. Anchorage Digital Bank served as the initial custodian.
As of early October 2026, VBNB held roughly $2.3 million to $2.7 million in assets under management.
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A $97 million single-day inflow would dwarf that entire asset base many times over.
Daily volume in one instance came in at approximately $13.8k.
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Glassnode reported zero net flows for VBNB as of October 2, 2026. The reported $97 million inflow has not been independently verified by major reporting sources.
Operational changes have done most of the talking
VanEck amended its custody arrangements to add BitGo as a second custodian alongside Anchorage.
In a September 25, 2026 amendment to its custody agreement, VanEck named Figment as a staking validator for the fund. Staking assets will carry a 4% fee on staked holdings.
VanEck updated the fund’s objectives so that staking now sits as a secondary goal next to following the spot price of BNB.
Strong chain metrics, soft fund demand
VanEck pointed to around 33 million monthly active users and 2.1 million daily active users on the network. VanEck also highlighted that BNB Chain generates approximately $160 million in annual revenue. The chain sees significant stablecoin trading activity too.
On-chain activity has not translated into money flowing into the ETF.
What this means for VBNB and altcoin ETFs
Other altcoin ETFs have seen notable inflows in recent weeks, while VBNB’s flow data had shown no comparable movement before Friday.
The 4% fee on staked assets will eat into any staking rewards passed along to shareholders.
Watch whether flow trackers such as Glassnode reflect the reported inflow, whether assets under management climb past their early October range, and whether staking changes the fund’s appeal once it is fully running.
CRYPTO
Crypto Briefing
06 Oct 2026 · 09:15
A16z’s seventh Top 100 Consumer AI Apps list follows the money
The new edition adds card-spend data for the first time, showing ChatGPT far ahead, Claude gaining, and a small group of heavy spenders driving AI subscription revenue Andreessen Horowitz has published the seventh edition …
The new edition adds card-spend data for the first time, showing ChatGPT far ahead, Claude gaining, and a small group of heavy spenders driving AI subscription revenue
Andreessen Horowitz has published the seventh edition of its Top 100 Consumer AI Apps ranking. ChatGPT is still at the top, and it isn’t close.
The bigger change is in the methodology. For the first time, a16z added US consumer credit-card spending data to its usual traffic metrics, and the results reshape how the AI subscription market looks.
A market carried by a small group of heavy spenders
The headline number is easy to miss. According to the report, only 4.5% of US consumers pay for any AI subscription.
Spending within that paying group is extremely uneven. The top 1% of spenders average about $903 per month on AI subscriptions. The median paying user spends $25.
a16z describes this as a power-user economy. A small number of customers account for a large share of revenue, while most people use free tiers or nothing at all.
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ChatGPT on top, Claude moving up
ChatGPT leads in both usage and revenue. In a16z’s US panel, it has roughly three times as many paid subscribers as either Gemini or Claude.
The more competitive race is for second place. Claude, Anthropic’s assistant, ranks as the third most popular consumer AI app overall. On US paid subscribers, though, the report finds it has passed Gemini.
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Claude’s subscriber mix also stands out. About 7.5% of its subscribers pay for plans costing $100 or more per month. For ChatGPT and Gemini, that figure is roughly 1%.
Fewer newcomers, and a list traffic data misses
On the traffic side, the ranking looks more settled. Only 11 new products entered the combined web and mobile lists in this edition, the fewest in any edition so far.
The spending data adds a twist. It surfaced 29 products that do not appear in the traffic rankings but still collect meaningful consumer spending.
OpenAI’s ad business and the agent wave
Subscriptions are no longer the only revenue model being tested. The report puts OpenAI’s advertising business at a $1 billion annualized run rate as of August 2026.
a16z points to shopping and travel queries as areas where ads could expand. It also names agentic and voice features as potential growth areas.
The report highlights Muse and Instinct as examples of early agent products. Both posted fast download and user growth during limited launches, along with high early spending.
Background: how the ranking changed
a16z has published the Top 100 Consumer AI Apps list across seven editions. Earlier versions relied mainly on traffic, ranking products by web visits and mobile activity.
The seventh edition, released around October 5, 2026, is the first to include actual card-spend data. That addition is what revealed both the power-user concentration and the list of 29 products that traffic data had missed.
CRYPTO
Crypto Briefing
06 Oct 2026 · 09:15
Kaiko report finds EUR fiat pairs dominate euro crypto trading volumes
Euro stablecoins are growing fast, but direct fiat pairs still carry the overwhelming majority of EUR-denominated crypto trades Europe’s crypto traders have a clear preference, and it isn’t the euro stablecoin. According to Kaiko’s …
Euro stablecoins are growing fast, but direct fiat pairs still carry the overwhelming majority of EUR-denominated crypto trades
Europe’s crypto traders have a clear preference, and it isn’t the euro stablecoin. According to Kaiko’s report “The State of the European Crypto Market”, most euro-denominated crypto trading still runs through plain EUR fiat pairs.
EUR-backed stablecoins account for just 7.46% of total EUR trading volume on centralized exchanges.
The numbers behind the euro market
Kaiko found that euro-denominated spot trading volume on centralized exchanges reached €362 billion in 2025, a 31% increase from the previous year.
Spread across the calendar, that works out to a monthly average of €28.5 billion in 2025.
Bitcoin remains the main event. Cumulative EUR-denominated Bitcoin volume has climbed to nearly €50 billion since early 2024, according to the report.
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EUR stablecoin activity has reportedly grown by 7 to 8 times since 2024, and weekly stablecoin trading peaked at over $1.5 billion.
Kaiko’s data shows the EUR stablecoin market cap remained below $750 million by Q1 2026.
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Bitvavo takes the lead
Bitvavo captured 44% of global EUR spot trading volume over the 2025 to 2026 period, putting it well ahead of rivals such as Kraken and Coinbase.
Bitvavo also posted the tightest average spreads on EUR pairs, at 0.981 basis points.
Leading EUR trading pairs now show spreads below 2 basis points, according to Kaiko.
For the first time, depth on some EUR pairs has outperformed certain USD equivalents.
Why fiat pairs still win
In Europe, on centralized exchanges, traders appear to be skipping the bridge and simply walking across with euros. If an exchange offers a direct EUR to Bitcoin pair with tight spreads and solid depth, the extra step of converting into a stablecoin first offers little obvious benefit.
Kaiko’s findings suggest that Europe’s MiCA regulatory framework appears to be helping foster these liquidity improvements and a more favorable trading environment in the euro market.
What this means for traders, exchanges and issuers
For traders, the euro crypto market has become cheaper and deeper to trade, with leading pairs now competitive with, and in some cases ahead of, their dollar counterparts on depth.
For exchanges, Bitvavo’s 44% share sets a high bar. Kraken and Coinbase still compete for the remaining volume, but the leader has built a meaningful advantage in pricing.
For euro stablecoin issuers, volume growth of 7 to 8 times since 2024 shows real demand is forming, and a weekly peak above $1.5 billion is not nothing. Yet a market cap below $750 million and a 7.46% share of EUR volume suggest the product has not found its killer use case on centralized venues.
CRYPTO
Crypto Briefing
06 Oct 2026 · 08:45
US Treasury withdraws proposed crypto rules on unhosted wallets, mixers
The U.S. Treasury Department has withdrawn its proposed rules that aimed to increase surveillance on unhosted cryptocurrency wallets and crypto mixers. Originally proposed in 2020 by the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN), these rules …
The U.S. Treasury Department has withdrawn its proposed rules that aimed to increase surveillance on unhosted cryptocurrency wallets and crypto mixers. Originally proposed in 2020 by the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN), these rules were intended to enhance reporting and recordkeeping for certain cryptocurrency transactions. The withdrawal marks a significant shift in the U.S. regulatory landscape, as the proposals had not yet been enacted into law. This development could influence the broader regulatory approach towards cryptocurrencies, although the full implications remain to be seen.
Key Takeaways
The withdrawal appears to be consistent with a reduction in regulatory pressure on cryptocurrencies, which may influence market dynamics.
Market pricing suggests a potential boost in Bitcoin’s adoption, potentially affecting future price predictions.
The broader U.S. regulatory approach to cryptocurrency remains partially unresolved, indicating ongoing uncertainty.
What to Watch
Market participants will likely monitor any further regulatory announcements from the U.S. Treasury and FinCEN that could impact the cryptocurrency landscape. Additionally, key legislative moves by U.S. Congress regarding cryptocurrency could be pivotal. Observers may look for indications of increased institutional adoption, which could be supportive of higher Bitcoin price scenarios. The influence of Federal Reserve policies on interest rates may also be a significant driver in shaping market expectations.
MACRO & FED
Biztoc.com
06 Oct 2026 · 08:30
Update: US Equity Futures Mostly Flat Pre-Bell as Soft Jobs Data Reduces Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Update: US Equity Futures Mostly Flat Pre-Bell as Soft Jobs Data Reduces Fed Rate Hike Expectations (Updates with economic data, recent oil price movement, world markets' overview and corporate stock movements.) US equity futures …
Update: US Equity Futures Mostly Flat Pre-Bell as Soft Jobs Data Reduces Fed Rate Hike Expectations
(Updates with economic data, recent oil price movement, world markets' overview and corporate stock movements.)
US equity futures were mostly flat pre-bell Mon… Update: US Equity Futures Mostly Flat Pre-Bell as Soft Jobs Data Reduces Fed Rate Hike Expectations(Updates with economic data, recent oil price movement, world markets' overview and corporate stock …
MACRO & FED
Freerepublic.com
06 Oct 2026 · 08:30
Officials trade blame as Iran’s economy sinks deeper
Skip to comments. Officials trade blame as Iran’s economy sinks deeper Iran International ^ | October 3, 2026 | Maryam Sinaiee Posted on by Twotone Iran’s worsening economic crisis has opened an increasingly bitter …
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Officials trade blame as Iran’s economy sinks deeper
Iran International ^ | October 3, 2026 | Maryam Sinaiee
Posted on by Twotone
Iran’s worsening economic crisis has opened an increasingly bitter argument over who is responsible, as the government points to outside pressure and market psychology while hardliners accuse Tehran’s own economic officials of making the situation worse.
On Thursday, the end of Iran’s market week, the rial fell to another record low. Year-on-year inflation has reached almost 90 percent, with food prices rising even faster.
The deterioration comes as US sanctions and a naval blockade squeeze Iran’s sources of revenue. The blockade has severely constrained oil exports, while Washington on Thursday expanded sanctions into the automotive and rail sectors, targeting some of the country’s largest industrial companies.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has seized on the rial’s collapse as evidence that Washington’s pressure campaign is working, saying this week that it had driven the currency to its lowest level in history.
Iranian Economy Minister Ali Madanizadeh rejected Bessent’s assessment, telling the official IRNA news agency Thursday that predictions of an imminent economic collapse had repeatedly proved wrong.
“They want to create unrest and stress among the people so they rush to the currency market and the exchange rate increases; otherwise, these statements serve no purpose, and we will not allow this to happen,” he said.
The Central Bank has offered a similar diagnosis. It said Friday that the exchange rate was not “fully consistent with the economy’s fundamental variables,” attributing much of the gap to heightened uncertainty, psychological pressure and market expectations.
The bank announced Wednesday that it planned to inject $2 billion in banknotes into the market. So far, however, the intervention has failed to halt the rial’s slide.
‘The Central Bank shoots it into its own goal’
Hardliners have challenged the government’s explanation, arguing that sanctions and the war cannot by themselves account for the surge in the exchange rate and prices.
Nadergholi Ebrahimi, a hardline lawmaker, claimed in an online interview Thursday that the war had contributed no more than 25% to the recent rise in prices and accused government economic officials of deliberately fueling inflation.
Threatening to seek the impeachment of economic ministers, he accused them of waging an “economic sedition” that was reducing the public’s ability to withstand economic pressure and increasing dissatisfaction.
Hossein Samsami, an economist and hardline lawmaker, has also attacked the Central Bank’s handling of the exchange rate.
“Today, the currency is the enemy’s tool in an all-out economic war, and the measure of its success is the devaluation of our national currency,” Samsami wrote on X.
But he accused the Central Bank itself of helping drive that process by following an exchange rate he said was artificially determined by Iran’s enemies.
“The enemy passes the ball, and the Central Bank shoots it into its own goal!” he wrote.
Inflation approaches 90 percent
Whatever the relative weight of sanctions, war, expectations and domestic policy, their combined effect is increasingly visible in household finances.
According to the Statistical Center of Iran, annual inflation has reached 73.6%, while year-on-year inflation rose to a record 89.8%.
Food and beverage prices have risen substantially faster than overall inflation, hitting lower-income households particularly hard because they devote a larger share of their income to food and other essentials.
Accelerating prices have also eroded the value of government food vouchers introduced after subsidized foreign-exchange rates for a range of goods were removed amid a sharp depreciation of the rial and economic protests in December and January.
Although the government pledged to increase the value of the vouchers in line with rising prices, it has yet to do so.
Wages fall behind as prices surge
The pressure is also increasingly visible among salaried workers.
Videos circulating on social media in recent weeks have shown teachers and nurses saying low wages have left them with no choice but to resign after years in their professions.
Ali Farhadi, spokesman for Iran’s Education Ministry, dismissed reports of widespread teacher resignations as a “rumor” on Friday.
The dispute has become another front in the broader argument over the economic crisis, with government supporters alleging that expressions of discontent are being amplified to encourage unrest and critics accusing authorities of dismissing genuine economic grievances.
Samsami, however, has placed greater responsibility for the hardship on domestic economic policy than on Washington.
“The pressure imposed on people’s livelihoods by misguided economic policies is far greater than that caused by sanctions and the naval blockade,” he wrote, adding: “We are not at an impasse. By reforming our policies, we can control inflation even under these sanctions.”
TOPICS:
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News/Current Events
Yemen
KEYWORDS:
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To: Twotone; Lazamataz
Here at FR, we know who(m) to blame.
To: Twotone
Accelerating prices have also eroded the value of government food vouchers introduced after subsidized foreign-exchange rates for a range of goods were removed amid a sharp depreciation of the rial and economic protests in December and January.
who removed the subsidy?
who removed the subsidy?
by 3 posted onby PeterPrinciple ((Thinking Caps are no longer being issued, but there must be a warehouse full of them somewhere))
To: Twotone
The Central Bank has offered a similar diagnosis
What central bank is this?
What central bank is this?
by 4 posted onby PeterPrinciple ((Thinking Caps are no longer being issued, but there must be a warehouse full of them somewhere))
To: Twotone
I believe Allah is to blame.
by 5 posted onby MrBambaLaMamba (Pעומ לצד ישראל. The only good commie is one that's dead - Country Joe McDonald)
To: Twotone
Keep on choking.
by 6 posted onby Kudsman (Killing and raping infidels, it's a cultural thing. )
To: Twotone
The bank announced Wednesday that it planned to inject $2 billion in banknotes into the market.
I’m no economist, but doesn’t injecting more banknotes into circulation make inflation worse?
I’m no economist, but doesn’t injecting more banknotes into circulation make inflation worse?
To: Twotone
The Iranians should just make the US dollar legal tender there…….
by 8 posted onby VanShuyten ("...that all the donkeys were dead. I know nothing as to the fate of the less valuable animals. )
To: VanShuyten
Two things, One, our historical sanctions were completely worthless. Sanctions in name only………which is a shame, but not surprising. Obama(traitor) and Biden(traitor) love Iran more than America. Two, their politicians sound like many of ours…….completely unaware of how an economy works.
To: Twotone
The whole point is to sink Iran.
To: MrBambaLaMamba
>>>I believe Allah is to blame. Correct! There’s no free will in true Islam, only Destiny!
To: existentially_kuffer
I heard it is hard to convince a failthful Muslim to wear a hard har on a drilling rig because of that, so presumably the bad economy is the same … can’t be helped.
To: Twotone
“Iran” International.... lol. UK based and funded internationally bynl players like Saudi Arabia.
by 13 posted onby AAABEST (That time Washington DC became a corrupted, existential threat to us all...)
To: hanamizu
Inject $2B in banknotes into the economy... Shoo, that’s two C-130’s full of pallets in the Obama days.
To: takebackaustin
If everything is already known, written, and willed by their Allah the distinction is their Allah is knowing your choices before you make them is not the same as Him forcing those choices upon you. Your example of a worker not wearing a hardhat; a muslim can use religious exemption to over ride safety first!?!? Using Personal Protection Equipment (PPE) is predictive and preventable in harm. There’s a tremendous amount of liability a company has & employees are trained & qualified to make sure that ALL Standard Operating Procedures(SOP) and all abiding safety rules are followed! Thank God I’m not a Muslim!
To: existentially_kuffer
The predestination in their minds is: you are going to die today or not. Nobody thinks predestination is “Allah already knows what you decide and acquiesces to the consequences of what you decide”. That would be divine precognition, not predestination. Predestination means:, “you insignificant gnat, it doesn’t matter what you think,decide, or do; what happens to you and everyone else is what Allah willed”. My point was they rely on, “ I will either die today or not, if Allah wills it.” If they thought it mattered but Allah knew, they would wear the hard hats and they would believe they have agency. By the way, this makes a Muslim a bad Physics/Math student and it sounds exactly like Orwell. if Allah wills it 2+2 != 4 and understanding that shows us that you are enlightened! Are you a Muslim apologist or just plain Muslim? Oh you said not a Muslim. Just cognitive dissonance.
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